I was dealt K9 off suit in the big blind, there was a raise in early position from a very weak player who had around £300 in play. This £300 may of been £50 because of how scared he was playing. He must of sat down with £80, and spun it up.
He made it £8 to play, which is basically AQ,AJ,and at a stretch AK. I know this because this dude plays real bad, and pretty much labels his hands via his pre flop raises. I also know that with a little pressure I can pretty much take this kid off a hand post flop.
There was one caller (button) ahead of me, and I called the extra £6.
Flop came down Q J x. I flopped a gutshot. I decided that this was enough to make a play, and checked with the intention of check raising big.
Our weak opponent lead £25 into the pot, AQ connected (he confirmed after the hand he did have AQ). The button called.
Now, with £75 (£25+£25+£8+£8+£8+£1) in the pot I made my play. I raised it to £107 total. I am basically risking £100 to win £75. Now the way I see it is the play has to be work just a little bit more often than 50% of the time to be profitable.
Factoring into the equation the equity (however small it may be I still have outs!), and future meta-game implications, together with the huge fold equity I have (at least against the pre flop raiser); I like my play.
(For future reference my equity in this spot vs ONLY the original pre flop raiser with a very tight range is 26.56 % vs 73.43 %.)
This particular opponent is folding TPTK over 60-70% (if not more in this spot).
After tanking for 5 minutes we get one fold, but a snap call from the button. The turn card pairs the board, and out of position, and fearing a set / turned house, I check over, my opponent checks.
The river is a blur. I think it was an 8. I miss anyway. I lead £175 into the pot, and get snapped shoved on, and have to fold. The guy told me he was up and down on the flop with 10 9 and got there on the river. I wish I shoved the turn now, and if I didn't shove the turn, I wish I check folded the river.
Although I played this hand pretty bad in several spots, significantly not considering the fact that it was a multi way pot, and spewing on the river, I was not too disheartened.
Fast forward to about a week ago, and let again I have chipped up and have over £800 in play. I am dealt 10 9 off in the hijack, with 1 limper ahead of I make it £10 to play.
The button calls, the limper folds. So a quick profile on my opponent: I don't know his name, but I have played with him several times, though he is not a regular he plays pretty often. He is American, has a good solid understanding of the game, probably a winning player and some what of a nit.
Considering his perception of me (which is equally if not as important!), I think overall he thinks I am somewhat of a loose, aggressive donk.
In previous sessions he has witnessed me bet £100 into a pot of £10 on the river with 8 high (I got called!). He has seen me check raise Andre on a J high board up to £150 and fold to a shove (for £300 more), and he has also seen me get called by Jay when I shoved £150+ on the river with complete air.
During this current session I have been playing my usual solid / tight (seriously!) game, which is disgused as a loose game due to the high frequency of pre flop raising.
So anyway, with £25 (£10+£10+£2+£2+£1) in the pot; the flop is A J 5 rainbow. I make my standard continuation bet of £15, and get called pretty quickly.
With a dry board like this, and against this opponent, defining his calling range is not hard; ace rag suited hands, big Aces (AJ, AQ, AK -less likely because I am probably getting re raised pre flop with at least AQ / AK +70% of the time -especially in position though this guy is nitty he is still good enough the 3 bet on the button). KJ / QJ and maybe 10 10 or 9 9 (but unlikely).
The turn is a 7 of clubs, putting both a flush and straight draw on the board -giving me the gutshot draw to the 8.
Out of position I don't like firing the second barrel, I opt to check. There is £55 in the pot, and he bets £25. Now with this bet, I am really able to tighten his range. Ace rag suited through to AK, including AJ for two pair, or a set.
Now maybe I am guilty of over thinking the situation but if he has Jack x hands, or under pairs, due his showdown value I don't see him betting here, and with all the draws on the board now the weak bet, is well...weak.
So I decide he has an ace, and cant withstand a check raise. So I re pop to £125. Now the relative stacks are £600+, so if he comes over the top, I am folding, and if he flats I am leaving enough money behind for a river bluff if need be.
He tanks for 5 minutes, and I figure (correctly) he has top two with AJ, he makes the call. I don't know if he is trapping or is playing scared. I still cant figure that much out now. Trapping on that board and with over £300 in the pot is just plain dumb. But then again if he shoves I am only calling with hands that beat him. So which ever way you look at it its tough spot with around £500 still in play.
I decide I am pretty much shoving any river, and am definitely confident I will fold out AJ. The river is the sick 8 of clubs. I make the nut straight, but a flush is on the board now.
I am not scared of the flush, but I am scared its going to kill my action. I shove. He has to call £400 plus with AJ, and let me tell you on a final board of AcJd5s7c8c I simply am not making this call in his spot.
But this guy has seen me make donk plays on turns, and river shoves with air and am hoping he has good recall!
This dude is tanking for good 5 minutes, after which point I ask the dealer if my opponent agrees I could show him one card. I desperately want to show him I don't have the flush. We agree and I show him a red 9. Blam! Now he is thinking real hard.
After another 5 minutes he says "if you raised me £125 on the turn with a gutshot....well then you deserve this!" and makes the call (tabling AJ).
Ship!
OK, I have so much to write regarding the utilisation of deep stacks, and player profiling but enough for today.
Not keeping tight records until January (due to the experimental nature of my current play), but it was nice to have a +£4k four week period. Playing £1-£2 with a deep bankroll!
Holla to my boy EJ, missing you man! Hope you are still reading!
Yigit out!
Need to keep the blog colourful for the ladies, so here is an old pic...always drink and play!
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